Despite widespread fears that AI would gut the tech workforce, the latest hiring data tells a more nuanced story: job openings are rising, layoffs are fading, and demand is shifting rather than collapsing. Hiring platform TrueUp, which tracks more than 9,000 technology companies, currently counts over 280,000 open tech positions — a strong increase from the start of 2026.
Layoffs haven't vanished, but the bloodbath of the post-pandemic reset is clearly over. Roughly 190,000 tech workers have been cut so far this year, putting 2026 on pace to land well under half the approximately 430,000 job losses recorded during the industry's brutal 2023 peak. The sector is healing, if unevenly.
The most striking shift is in hardware. Demand for hardware engineers has surged this year, driven by an infrastructure arms race around AI — GPUs, data centers, robotics, and domestic manufacturing. TrueUp founder Amit Taylor points to GPU innovation, AI robotics, U.S. manufacturing startups, and SpaceX as key demand drivers. The physical layer of the AI economy is generating serious engineering jobs.
Software engineers, widely expected to be casualties of AI coding tools, have held up better than predicted. Listings for software roles remain resilient, suggesting that AI is augmenting rather than replacing programmers at scale — at least for now. The overall picture is one of composition change, not contraction: tech companies are cutting in some areas while aggressively hiring wherever AI capital is flowing.
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